The 2019 major championship season came to a close last week but we’ve got a WGC event this week that should help us recover from our Open Championship induced hangovers here as the PGA Tour is back in action in Memphis for the Fed-Ex St. Jude WGC.
TPC Southwind: Par 70, 7,300 yards.
Average Driving Distance: (TPC Southwind 286 vs. PGA Tour Avg 283 yards)
Hitting Fairways: Difficult (TPC Southwind 53% vs. PGA Tour Avg 61%).
Hitting Greens: (TPC Southwind 58% vs. PGA Tour Avg 66%)
TPC Southwind regularly ranks up in the top 10-15 most difficult tracks on the PGA Tour each season and with tighter fairways and difficult to hit greens resembles many of the courses regularly played in European Tour events. Water is also a major factor as it comes into play on eight holes this week. TPC Southwind even holds the distinction of having the most water balls of any course on the PGA Tour over the past five years. There will be a lot of bogeys and doubles out there so not only will bogey avoidance be key but we need players who can make birdies to recover lost strokes and also help us in the DK scoring department.
Here are our top stats to consider this week:
- Strokes Gained Approach
- Opportunities Gained
- Birdies or Better Gained
- Bogey Avoidance
- Proximity 150-175 yards
Field Size: 64
Cut Rule: No cut
Notables in the Field: Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Justin Rose, Jordan Spieth, Francesco Molinari
Even with a long trip coming off The Open Championship most of the big names are in the field this week with only Tiger Woods and Rickie Fowler noticeably absent. With all the travel we do have to consider WD risk here as I suspect we will likely have a player or two throw in the towel if they get off to a poor start this week given the overseas travel and a paycheck is guaranteed as long as you just tee off on the first hole. That risk is mitigated by the strong field so I will be playing close to my normal volume in bankroll this week. Here are two targets to build around for your DraftKings cash game/single entry GPP lineups. Get our best plays to construct the remainder of your lineup by clicking the link at the bottom of the page.
High End – Justin Thomas – $10,700
I’ll be starting my main lineup with Justin Thomas this week as I feel he is getting ready to peak here in the near future as we approach the Fed-Ex Cup playoffs. I’ve been on him heavily for the past several weeks and the confidence looks like its back again after a solid performance at The Open Championship where he gained nearly five strokes on approaches. Given the no cut format I feel there is enough value in the low $7,000 range to start my main lineup with a higher priced player than I normally would and it seems JT is as enthusiastic about his game right now as any player in the field so I want to take advantage of that momentum.
Upper Mid-Range – Hideki Matsuyama – $8,900
Hideki has been one of my core plays nearly every time he has teed it up this year and a missed MC after catching the worst of the weather at The Open will not be enough to push me off him this week. Even with the MC, he stilled gained strokes on his approaches for the 20th consecutive start and I expect him to be resfreshed and motived coming off the missed cut and with a couple of extra days of rest.
How we did last week:
Cash/Single Entry Article Plays:
Henrik Stenson – T20
Justin Thomas – T11
Optimal Sports Subscribers Core Plays:
Matt Kuchar – T37
Adam Scott – MC
Hideki Matsuyama – MC
Webb Simpson – T37
Patrick Reed – T10
Patrick Cantlay – T53
Last Week’s DraftKings Double Up Contest Result: Loss
2018-2019 Season Double Up Record: 22-14
Record in Double Ups Since 1/1/18: 47-24
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