2019 3M Open DFS Preview

A bit of an abbreviated article for the holiday week but I still wanted to get it out there for our readers. We have another new event as the PGA Tour is in Minnesota for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities.

TPC Twin Cities: Par 71, 7,450 yards.

Greens: Bentgrass

Average Driving Distance: (N/A (New Venue) vs. PGA Tour Avg 283 yards)  

Hitting Fairways: (N/A (New Venue) vs. PGA Tour Avg 61%)  

Hitting Greens: (N/A (New Venue) vs. PGA Tour Avg 66%)   

This course was designed by Arnold Palmer and played host to a Champions Tour event for over a decade that was a birdie fest so they recently went through a renovation that included adding on about 300 yards in length and converted a par five to a 500 yard par four. The remaining par fives are all about 590 yards in length but reachable by longest players in the field. Also contributing bombers narrative are wide fairways and rough that is expected to be short in length. Even with the renovations I would be expect to see low scores this week but not to the extent of last week’s event at Detroit Golf Club.

Here are our top stats to consider this week:

  • Opportunities Gained
  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Par 5 Efficiency 550-600 yards

Field Information:

Field Size: 156

Cut Rule: Top 70 and ties (MDF rule is in effect)

Notables in the Field: Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day, Patrick Reed Hideki Matsuyama, Tony Finau, Phil Mickelson

Another weak field with a new event for the second straight week as players are continuing to head overseas to prepare for the Open Championship. With the weak field and a possible birdie fest on our hands that opens up the field it is looking like another good time to reduce the amount of bankroll in play. Here are two targets to build around for your DraftKings cash game/single entry GPP lineups. Get our best plays to construct the remainder of your lineup by clicking the link at the bottom of the page.

High End – Hideki Matsuyama – $11,100

I continue to feature Hideki in these writeups and he continues to make cuts and post solid finishes so why make a change if it’s not broken. His ballstriking remains hot as he has gained strokes tee to green in each of his last 18 Shotlink events highlighted by gaining an average of 3.7 strokes on approaches over his last 12 starts shows that his iron play is dialed in. Over his past 12 rounds he last leads the field in both opportunities gained and birdies gained and is one of the most efficient on long par fives.  

Value – Charley Hoffman – $7,800

While he has missed his last three cuts, Hoffman has been right around the cutline and again just missed out due to a poor putting day on Friday. The approach game has been good but the Charley has not been scoring as we have a large disparity in opportunities gained in which he ranks 13th in the field over the last 12 rounds, and birdies gained, in which he ranks 103rd in the field over his last 12 rounds. I expect this to correct itself soon as the disparity has been out of line with his long-term stats and at $7800 in a weak field event he provides some good value as you round out your lineups.

How we did last week:

Cash/Single Entry Article Plays:

Hideki Matsuyama – T13

Kevin Streelman – T35

Optimal Sports Subscribers Core Plays:

Charley Hoffman – MC

Hank Lebioda – MC

Hideki Matsuyama – T13

Kevin Streelman – T35

Peter Malnati – T29

Billy Horschel – T17

Last Week’s DraftKings Double Up Contest Result: Loss

2018-2019 Season Double Up Record: 21-12

Record in Double Ups Since 1/1/18: 46-22

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